Youth Opportunity · national pilot
Beyond the Curve is testing how verified public evidence can travel beyond New York without flattening local systems into a ranking. The comparable core uses the same federal definitions; local school, safety, and justice records remain visible only on their own terms.
Comparable core
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Shared definitions
Every value below comes from the same ACS vintage and detailed-table definition. A higher or lower estimate is context for investigation—not a grade on children, families, or a city.
| Jurisdiction | Child poverty | Renter cost burden | Median household income | Unemployment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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Baseline, not trend: this first shared vintage cannot support improving, stable, or worsening labels. Those labels will appear only after comparable periods and an uncertainty-aware change rule are available.
Two-axis framework
Youth Opportunity is the goal. Protective conditions make that opportunity more possible; institutional response shows what public systems do when support, access, or continuity is under pressure.
Economic stability, housing stability, school connection, safety and wellbeing, paid opportunity, and family or health support. The shared federal core begins the comparison; local layers add depth without changing definitions.
Diversion, detention reliance, transfer to adult court, continuity of care and education, family connection, and reentry continuity. No public score appears while official records remain unreconciled.
Public method
The pilot publishes the evidence record and its boundaries alongside the interface. Missing evidence stays missing rather than becoming an AI estimate.
Los Angeles County and Baltimore City each have a public map of official school, health, work, diversion, detention, education, and reentry sources. The next step is external definition review—not adding more cities.