{
  "schema_version": 1,
  "dataset_id": "youth-opportunity-national-pilot",
  "version_id": "acs-2024-pilot-v1",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-06T02:34:24.198Z",
  "status": "verified_comparable_core",
  "pilot_scope": [
    "new-york-city",
    "los-angeles-county",
    "baltimore-city"
  ],
  "comparison_boundary": "Only observations marked comparable_core may be compared across pilot jurisdictions. Local layers retain their own definitions and must not be ranked together.",
  "scoring_boundary": "No composite opportunity score, system-response score, city ranking, individual risk score, causal claim, or projection is produced in this pilot.",
  "protection_contrast_boundary": "Protection Contrast pairs verified observed conditions with transparent interpretation, a protective direction, and responsible systems. Directions are not numeric targets, city grades, causal findings, or claims that every young person shares the reported condition.",
  "coverage": {
    "vintage": 2024,
    "survey_period": "2020–2024",
    "product": "American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates",
    "refresh_cadence": "Annual after ACS five-year release"
  },
  "methodology": {
    "summary": "The pilot begins with four identically defined ACS measures available for all three jurisdictions. Percentage margins of error follow Census guidance for aggregated categories and ratios and use the ACS 90% confidence level.",
    "geography_note": "Each record follows the named jurisdiction's legal reporting geography: New York City as a place, Los Angeles County as a county, and Baltimore City as an independent city and county equivalent. The page never presents them as identically governed systems.",
    "direction_note": "One ACS vintage establishes a baseline, not a trend. Improving, stable, or worsening labels require a future comparable series and an uncertainty-aware change rule.",
    "limitations": [
      "ACS five-year estimates pool survey responses across 2020–2024 and are not point-in-time 2024 counts.",
      "The four core measures describe economic and housing context; they do not constitute a complete account of youth opportunity.",
      "City and county administrative systems differ, so local school and justice records remain jurisdiction-specific until their definitions are reconciled.",
      "Differences between estimates do not by themselves explain why conditions differ or what caused an outcome."
    ]
  },
  "sources": [
    {
      "id": "census-acs-2024-b17001",
      "title": "2024 ACS 5-Year Detailed Table B17001",
      "publisher": "United States Census Bureau",
      "url": "https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/summary_file/2024/table-based-SF/data/5YRData/acsdt5y2024-b17001.dat",
      "source_page": "https://www.census.gov/data/developers/data-sets/acs-5year.html",
      "cadence": "Annual"
    },
    {
      "id": "census-acs-2024-b25070",
      "title": "2024 ACS 5-Year Detailed Table B25070",
      "publisher": "United States Census Bureau",
      "url": "https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/summary_file/2024/table-based-SF/data/5YRData/acsdt5y2024-b25070.dat",
      "source_page": "https://www.census.gov/data/developers/data-sets/acs-5year.html",
      "cadence": "Annual"
    },
    {
      "id": "census-acs-2024-b19013",
      "title": "2024 ACS 5-Year Detailed Table B19013",
      "publisher": "United States Census Bureau",
      "url": "https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/summary_file/2024/table-based-SF/data/5YRData/acsdt5y2024-b19013.dat",
      "source_page": "https://www.census.gov/data/developers/data-sets/acs-5year.html",
      "cadence": "Annual"
    },
    {
      "id": "census-acs-2024-b23025",
      "title": "2024 ACS 5-Year Detailed Table B23025",
      "publisher": "United States Census Bureau",
      "url": "https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/summary_file/2024/table-based-SF/data/5YRData/acsdt5y2024-b23025.dat",
      "source_page": "https://www.census.gov/data/developers/data-sets/acs-5year.html",
      "cadence": "Annual"
    }
  ],
  "indicators": [
    {
      "id": "child_poverty_rate",
      "label": "Children below the poverty threshold",
      "short_label": "Child poverty",
      "dimension": "economic_stability",
      "unit": "percent",
      "universe": "Residents under 18 whose poverty status is determined",
      "polarity": "lower_is_more_protective",
      "table": "B17001",
      "protection_pressure": "A larger share of children below the official poverty threshold signals greater economic pressure on families. It does not describe a child's capacity or predict an outcome.",
      "protective_direction": "Fewer children below the poverty threshold, alongside reliable access to income, food, housing, health, and school supports.",
      "responsible_systems": [
        "Income and benefits agencies",
        "Housing and food-support systems",
        "Schools and local government"
      ],
      "benchmark_status": "direction_only_no_numeric_target",
      "status": "verified"
    },
    {
      "id": "renter_cost_burden_rate",
      "label": "Renters paying at least 30% of income toward gross rent",
      "short_label": "Renter cost burden",
      "dimension": "housing_stability",
      "unit": "percent",
      "universe": "Renter households with a computed rent-to-income ratio",
      "polarity": "lower_is_more_protective",
      "table": "B25070",
      "protection_pressure": "A larger share of renter households paying at least 30% of income toward rent indicates less room for other needs. This measure covers renter households, not children specifically.",
      "protective_direction": "Fewer rent-burdened households and greater housing stability. The pilot does not assign an ideal numeric target.",
      "responsible_systems": [
        "Housing agencies",
        "Local and state government",
        "Income and benefits systems"
      ],
      "benchmark_status": "direction_only_no_numeric_target",
      "status": "verified"
    },
    {
      "id": "median_household_income",
      "label": "Median household income",
      "short_label": "Median household income",
      "dimension": "economic_stability",
      "unit": "2024 inflation-adjusted dollars",
      "universe": "Households",
      "polarity": "higher_is_more_protective",
      "table": "B19013",
      "protection_pressure": "Lower household resources can constrain stability and access, but a median can hide unequal conditions and does not measure youth experience directly.",
      "protective_direction": "More stable household resources, interpreted alongside child poverty, housing costs, and local service access rather than as a stand-alone target.",
      "responsible_systems": [
        "Workforce and economic-development agencies",
        "Employers",
        "Income-support systems"
      ],
      "benchmark_status": "direction_only_no_numeric_target",
      "status": "verified"
    },
    {
      "id": "unemployment_rate",
      "label": "Civilian unemployment rate",
      "short_label": "Unemployment",
      "dimension": "economic_stability",
      "unit": "percent",
      "universe": "Civilian labor force age 16 and older",
      "polarity": "lower_is_more_protective",
      "table": "B23025",
      "protection_pressure": "Higher unemployment can signal weaker household economic stability. The source covers the civilian labor force age 16 and older, not youth alone.",
      "protective_direction": "Broader access to stable employment and paid youth pathways. The pilot does not treat one unemployment rate as an ideal threshold.",
      "responsible_systems": [
        "Workforce agencies",
        "Employers",
        "Schools and youth-employment programs"
      ],
      "benchmark_status": "direction_only_no_numeric_target",
      "status": "verified"
    }
  ],
  "jurisdictions": [
    {
      "id": "new-york-city",
      "name": "New York City",
      "short_name": "New York",
      "state": "New York",
      "geography_type": "consolidated city",
      "local_evidence_status": "active",
      "local_evidence_url": "/advocate/youth-opportunity/",
      "evidence_grade": "A",
      "opportunity_dimensions": {
        "economic_stability": "comparable_core_available",
        "housing_stability": "comparable_core_available",
        "school_connection": "verified_local_layer",
        "safety_and_wellbeing": "verified_local_layer",
        "paid_opportunity": "common_indicator_not_yet_selected"
      },
      "response_dimensions": {
        "diversion_access": "not_yet_comparable",
        "detention_reliance": "verified_local_layer_not_cross_city_comparable",
        "adult_transfer": "not_yet_comparable",
        "care_and_education_continuity": "not_yet_comparable",
        "family_connection": "not_yet_comparable",
        "reentry_continuity": "not_yet_comparable"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "los-angeles-county",
      "name": "Los Angeles County",
      "short_name": "Los Angeles",
      "state": "California",
      "geography_type": "county",
      "local_evidence_status": "official_source_inventory",
      "local_evidence_url": "/advocate/youth-opportunity/national/los-angeles-county/#official-local-evidence",
      "evidence_grade": "A",
      "opportunity_dimensions": {
        "economic_stability": "comparable_core_available",
        "housing_stability": "comparable_core_available",
        "school_connection": "official_inventory_available",
        "safety_and_wellbeing": "official_inventory_available",
        "paid_opportunity": "official_inventory_available"
      },
      "response_dimensions": {
        "diversion_access": "official_inventory_available",
        "detention_reliance": "official_inventory_available",
        "adult_transfer": "not_yet_comparable",
        "care_and_education_continuity": "official_inventory_available",
        "family_connection": "not_yet_comparable",
        "reentry_continuity": "official_inventory_available"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "baltimore-city",
      "name": "Baltimore City",
      "short_name": "Baltimore",
      "state": "Maryland",
      "geography_type": "independent city and county equivalent",
      "local_evidence_status": "official_source_inventory",
      "local_evidence_url": "/advocate/youth-opportunity/national/baltimore-city/#official-local-evidence",
      "evidence_grade": "A",
      "opportunity_dimensions": {
        "economic_stability": "comparable_core_available",
        "housing_stability": "comparable_core_available",
        "school_connection": "official_inventory_available",
        "safety_and_wellbeing": "official_inventory_available",
        "paid_opportunity": "official_inventory_available"
      },
      "response_dimensions": {
        "diversion_access": "official_inventory_available",
        "detention_reliance": "official_inventory_available",
        "adult_transfer": "official_inventory_available",
        "care_and_education_continuity": "official_inventory_available",
        "family_connection": "not_yet_comparable",
        "reentry_continuity": "official_inventory_available"
      }
    }
  ],
  "observations": [
    {
      "jurisdiction_id": "new-york-city",
      "indicator": "child_poverty_rate",
      "value": 23.9,
      "margin_of_error": 0.4,
      "numerator": 402500,
      "denominator": 1682598,
      "period": "2020–2024",
      "vintage": 2024,
      "quality": "verified_estimate",
      "comparability": "comparable_core"
    },
    {
      "jurisdiction_id": "new-york-city",
      "indicator": "renter_cost_burden_rate",
      "value": 52.4,
      "margin_of_error": 0.3,
      "numerator": 1116442,
      "denominator": 2130211,
      "period": "2020–2024",
      "vintage": 2024,
      "quality": "verified_estimate",
      "comparability": "comparable_core"
    },
    {
      "jurisdiction_id": "new-york-city",
      "indicator": "median_household_income",
      "value": 80483,
      "margin_of_error": 601,
      "period": "2020–2024",
      "vintage": 2024,
      "quality": "verified_estimate",
      "comparability": "comparable_core"
    },
    {
      "jurisdiction_id": "new-york-city",
      "indicator": "unemployment_rate",
      "value": 8,
      "margin_of_error": 0.1,
      "numerator": 353061,
      "denominator": 4392297,
      "period": "2020–2024",
      "vintage": 2024,
      "quality": "verified_estimate",
      "comparability": "comparable_core"
    },
    {
      "jurisdiction_id": "los-angeles-county",
      "indicator": "child_poverty_rate",
      "value": 17.6,
      "margin_of_error": 0.3,
      "numerator": 350285,
      "denominator": 1986834,
      "period": "2020–2024",
      "vintage": 2024,
      "quality": "verified_estimate",
      "comparability": "comparable_core"
    },
    {
      "jurisdiction_id": "los-angeles-county",
      "indicator": "renter_cost_burden_rate",
      "value": 57.7,
      "margin_of_error": 0.3,
      "numerator": 1013598,
      "denominator": 1757770,
      "period": "2020–2024",
      "vintage": 2024,
      "quality": "verified_estimate",
      "comparability": "comparable_core"
    },
    {
      "jurisdiction_id": "los-angeles-county",
      "indicator": "median_household_income",
      "value": 90112,
      "margin_of_error": 392,
      "period": "2020–2024",
      "vintage": 2024,
      "quality": "verified_estimate",
      "comparability": "comparable_core"
    },
    {
      "jurisdiction_id": "los-angeles-county",
      "indicator": "unemployment_rate",
      "value": 7.3,
      "margin_of_error": 0.1,
      "numerator": 378125,
      "denominator": 5200656,
      "period": "2020–2024",
      "vintage": 2024,
      "quality": "verified_estimate",
      "comparability": "comparable_core"
    },
    {
      "jurisdiction_id": "baltimore-city",
      "indicator": "child_poverty_rate",
      "value": 25.5,
      "margin_of_error": 1.3,
      "numerator": 29951,
      "denominator": 117464,
      "period": "2020–2024",
      "vintage": 2024,
      "quality": "verified_estimate",
      "comparability": "comparable_core"
    },
    {
      "jurisdiction_id": "baltimore-city",
      "indicator": "renter_cost_burden_rate",
      "value": 53.7,
      "margin_of_error": 1.2,
      "numerator": 67823,
      "denominator": 126337,
      "period": "2020–2024",
      "vintage": 2024,
      "quality": "verified_estimate",
      "comparability": "comparable_core"
    },
    {
      "jurisdiction_id": "baltimore-city",
      "indicator": "median_household_income",
      "value": 62177,
      "margin_of_error": 1378,
      "period": "2020–2024",
      "vintage": 2024,
      "quality": "verified_estimate",
      "comparability": "comparable_core"
    },
    {
      "jurisdiction_id": "baltimore-city",
      "indicator": "unemployment_rate",
      "value": 6.5,
      "margin_of_error": 0.4,
      "numerator": 19227,
      "denominator": 294134,
      "period": "2020–2024",
      "vintage": 2024,
      "quality": "verified_estimate",
      "comparability": "comparable_core"
    }
  ]
}